Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.181812 0.208846 0.239610 0.277438 0.323010 0.376537 0.444747
2025-06-08 0.136978 0.170732 0.213363 0.272100 0.352439 0.460784 0.622054
2025-06-15 0.114923 0.152156 0.203026 0.279662 0.395970 0.572598 0.875454
2025-06-22 0.096708 0.133809 0.187543 0.274211 0.417023 0.656178 1.119689
2025-06-29 0.085493 0.122799 0.179603 0.276899 0.449627 0.766666 1.459689
2025-07-06 0.075693 0.112050 0.169715 0.273549 0.469990 0.860884 1.815330
2025-07-13 0.069475 0.105812 0.165729 0.278986 0.507222 1.000501 2.355991
2025-07-20 0.064498 0.100794 0.162804 0.285424 0.547819 1.162696 3.069501
2025-07-27 0.060195 0.096277 0.159942 0.291197 0.588441 1.341907 3.984014
2025-08-03 0.056764 0.092801 0.158370 0.299109 0.636152 1.561415 5.259006
2025-08-10 0.053156 0.088555 0.154695 0.301771 0.672045 1.765861 6.723973
2025-08-17 0.049821 0.084422 0.150650 0.302794 0.704186 1.976469 8.523324
2025-08-24 0.046476 0.079990 0.145583 0.300917 0.729338 2.183628 10.699878
2025-08-31 0.043192 0.075364 0.139577 0.295825 0.744466 2.367370 13.143400
2025-09-07 0.041428 0.073522 0.139167 0.304450 0.804143 2.769362 18.305425
2025-09-14 0.038680 0.069446 0.133444 0.298452 0.815820 2.977703 22.513222
2025-09-21 0.036873 0.067109 0.131271 0.301457 0.859105 3.371199 30.417991
2025-09-28 0.034766 0.063964 0.126913 0.297737 0.878008 3.661864 38.681832
2025-10-05 0.033482 0.062429 0.126075 0.303783 0.935630 4.225537 55.592380
2025-10-12 0.032359 0.061132 0.125635 0.310945 1.001114 4.916398 83.032973
2025-10-19 0.031268 0.059807 0.124973 0.317370 1.067032 5.701941 126.686291
2025-10-26 0.030373 0.058833 0.125057 0.326182 1.148030 6.727569 207.867102
2025-11-02 0.029242 0.057234 0.123397 0.329148 1.204579 7.656028 326.221616